Ramping Up Egypt’s Diplomacy with Sudan and Libya: The Goals of Cairo as Crises Escalate in the Region
Egypt has stepped up its diplomatic activity over Sudan and Libya in an attempt to prevent the fragmentation of two neighbouring countries and keep them from posing a threat to its security. Egypt Regional Diplomacy, The new effort involves consultations with the US, the eastern Libyan leadership and Chad, and each time Egyptian diplomats stress the necessity of preserving national structures, integrity and locally-mediated political settlement.
Why Does Egypt Increase Its Attention to Sudan and Libya?
For Cairo, the situation in these countries is not a matter of foreign policy alone, but also a national security issue. Both Sudan and Libya share borders with Egypt and influence its safety.
Indeed, Sudan is currently involved in a civil war with the Sudanese Army and Rapid Support Forces, and there is an acute risk of its breakup.
Thus, the unity of the state and functional national institutions became priorities of Egypt’s regional diplomacy with regard to Sudan.
What Does Egypt Want from Sudan?
The primary aim of Egypt now is to ensure that Sudan does not divide for good.
Abdelatty stressed once again during his recent talks with the US Senior Advisor for Arab and African Affairs, Massad Boulos, Egypt’s stance regarding the preservation of Sudan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and also asked to facilitate humanitarian access and conduct a political process involving Sudanese stakeholders.
This is because Egypt fears that the division of Sudan can lead to further security threats on its southern borders, as well as allow other armed groups and other countries to increase their influence in the region.
Consequently, Cairo insists on preserving Sudan as a whole country rather than allowing competing political or military forces to emerge.
Why is Libya Also Important for Cairo?
There is a similar problem in regard to Libya on Egypt’s western border.
It is still politically fragmented, with centers of power being in conflict and with issues regarding the national institutions, military unification, and elections not yet solved.
Egypt has increased its contacts with the eastern camp of Libya while trying to reach a political solution at the same time. On August 23, the chief of Egypt’s intelligence service, Hassan Rashad, held talks with Saddam Haftar, the deputy commander of Libya’s eastern forces in Alamein. The political situation and creating conditions for presidential and parliamentary elections were the key points of discussion.
But at the same time, Cairo claims that it seeks a settlement which will preserve Libya’s integrity rather than split it permanently.
What is the Role of America in All This? – Egypt Regional Diplomacy
Washington has become an important player in Egypt’s diplomatic game.
Recently, Abdelatty and Boulos discussed Sudan, Libya and the Horn of Africa, agreeing to coordinate their efforts and seek political and diplomatic solutions to regional disputes.
In regard to Libya, Boulos has praised Egypt’s efforts towards defusing tension and unifying Libyan institutions.
Cooperation between Cairo and Washington would allow Cairo to enhance its diplomatic standing in addition to providing Washington with a regional ally with direct ties across the rival blocs.
Why Does Egypt Want Unified Militaries?
Fragmentation of military institutions is among the greatest threats to long-term stability in both Sudan and Libya.
In the case of Libya, Cairo has consistently stressed the importance of institutional unity, which includes the military, as necessary for the establishment of stable conditions in the country. Egypt has also insisted on holding simultaneous presidential and parliamentary elections as part of a broader solution to the conflict.
However, the case of Sudan is much more complicated because the conflict is being waged between rival military formations.
It is for this reason that Cairo favors national institutions.
What Does Egypt Stand to Lose With Increasing Engagement?
Increased engagement poses certain risks as well.
The war in Sudan includes many regional and international stakeholders, so that increased efforts by Egypt could place it at loggerheads with other countries supporting other stakeholders. The conflict is becoming more internationalized, with foreign military and financial assistance helping the conflict continue.
Libya offers another challenge for Cairo. Egypt enjoys relations with stakeholders in eastern Libya, yet officially backs a negotiated solution that includes all parts of Libya.
Striking a balance between the two without seeming to play favorites will prove challenging.
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